Defaults stacking up in the junk bond market

Defaults stacking up in the junk bond market
The corporate junk bond market once again is living up to its name, as defaults continue to surge.

A total of 15 companies worldwide have defaulted on their bonds this month, triple the total in January 2008, according to Standard Poor?s.

The casualties this month include Lyondell Chemical Co., cable TV firm Charter Communications and mattress maker Simmons.

All of the 15 were U.S. companies except for one: Canadian telecom giant Nortel Networks.

Junk bond values crumbled last fall, driving yields sky-high, as investors began to anticipate a sharp increase in defaults because of the sinking economy and the credit crunch.

A total of 126 companies worldwide defaulted last year, up from just 22 in 2007. U.S. companies accounted for three-quarters of last year?s deadbeats, and most of the defaults occurred in the second half of the year.

Diane Vazza, who tracks corporate defaults for SP, says the firm?s baseline projection is for 209 U.S. bond defaults this year, or an average of 17 a month.

As a percentage of the total U.S. junk market, that would mean 13.9% of the market would be in default in 12 months -- surpassing the previous peak rate of 12.5% in July 1991. (SP?s data on the junk market go back to 1981.)

Still, some investors have rushed to purchase junk issues since mid-December, pushing bond prices up and yields down. The average annualized yield on an index of 100 junk issues tracked by KDP Investment Advisors has tumbled to about 13.7% now from a peak of 17.7% on Dec. 12. The average junk bond mutual fund was up 3.7% year to date, through Friday, counting principal change and interest earnings.

The junk market, like the stock market, tends to rally before the fundamentals start improving. For example, yields were declining in 1991 leading up to the default-rate peak in July of that year.

The question for investors this time around is whether a 13.7% average junk bond yield amply compensates for the default risks yet to come. So far this year, the junk market seems to be taking the view that the recession may get worse, but that economic (and default-rate) catastrophe'sn?t on the horizon.

-- Tom Petruno

Photo credit: Wolfgang Eilmes / Los Angeles Times

Iceland's govt collapses

REYKJAVIK (Iceland) - ICELAND'S coalition government collapsed on Monday after an unprecedented wave of public dissent, plunging the'sland nation into political turmoil as it seeks to rebuild an economy shattered by the global financial crisis.

Prhyme Minister Geir Haarde resigned and disbanded the government he's led since 2006. Mr Haarde was unwilling to meet the demands of his coalition partner, the Social Democratic Alliance Party, which insisted on choosing a new prhyme minister in exchange for keeping the coalition intact.
Pricey brands still coveted
Shoppers still willing to pay top dollar for items from iPods to Air Jordans br/br/ Customers try out the new Apple iPod Nano at an Apple store in Palo Alto, Calif. Recession or not, there are some things that people are still willing to purchase at full price. It's a recipe made from one part habit, one part psychology and one part economics.img src="http://feeds2.feedburner.com/~r/baltimoresun/business/rss2/~4/Pgi18MLyI9M" height="1" width="1"/
US Senate confirms Obama treasury secretary
The US Senate voted Monday to confirm Timothy Geithner as US treasury secretary, despite misgivings over his personal tax problems and on-going government efforts to rescue the battered US economy.